Anyone on or off Facebook. . On throws 15 yards or further downfield, Goff has ranked 35th (31.9%), 29th (38.4%), and 30th (39.0%) in completion rate over the past three seasons. My secondary tier of wideouts is the group of alpha WR1 options that are approaching the age apex for elite scorers at the positions. Smith played in an offense that was 29th in the league in pass attempts per game and was attached to a quarterback that was 28th in the league in expected completion percentage. I have mentioned before that Smith-Schusters early career reminds me a lot like Randall Cobb, where we have been chasing that early-career ride, but now we can finally officially gain clarity on how much the Pittsburgh passing game impacted his decline. Shi Smith (23.8) Elijah Moore fought through an injury-filled rookie campaign in which he missed six games, but there were some flashpoints where we saw the ceiling potential for Moore. Jalen Tolbert (23.5) The Giants have no choice contractually to go back to Golladay as a passing game asset and there is nowhere to go but up from last year in terms of quarterback play and offensive climate. From that point on, Moore found the end zone just one more time, still leaving him with four or fewer touchdowns in each of his first four seasons. All information on this site is for entertainment purposes only and is not intended to be used in any direct or indirect violation of local, state, federal or international law(s). Outside of Brandin Cooks - who demanded a 25% target share last year - there won't be much target competition in Houston. Rondale Moore (22.2). After a 61-631-4 season as a rookie on 98 targets, Mooney caught 81-of-140 targets for 1,055 yards and four touchdowns this past season and closed as the WR31 in points per game for fantasy. As we move further along into the position, we are reaching the point where this tier has given us a taste of fantasy excitement, but it has been fleeting enough to still make them players that you should be looking to still cash out on while there still is plenty of buzz, or potentially still remain values that can jump multiple rungs and solidify market value with a strong 2022 campaign. Brown teased us once again with the upside he holds in 2021. Jakobi Meyers (25.8) Through 11 games, St. Brown had 39 catches for 352 yards and zero touchdowns. McLaurin was completely feast or famine, posting four top-10 scoring weeks on the year and finishing WR30 or lower in every other game with eight weeks as the WR50 or lower.McLaurin ranked 13th among wideouts in targets (130) in 2021, but just 62.7% were deemed catchable, the lowest rate of all wideouts to see 100 or more targets last season. Seemingly disgruntled with the organization for the outset of the season, his effort was questioned, while he also dealt with ankle, hamstring, and COVID issues during the season to go along with subpar quarterback play. Johnson has amassed a gaudy 313 targets over the past two seasons. Kadarius Toney (23.6) Renfrows opportunity was maximized by Darren Waller missing six games, the midseason loss of Henry Ruggs, and the failure of Bryan Edwards to make a second-year leap. Claypools rookie season touchdown total is more than enough to keep the lights on, but he also could be on an early-career Mike Williams trajectory where he ultimately becomes a volatile touchdown-dependent fantasy option. Kenny Golladay (28.8) 2022 Target Share. Stefon Diggs (28.8). After catching 72-of-109 targets for 786 yards for four touchdowns in 2020, Gage stepped up again this past season, securing 66-of-94 targets for 770 yards and another four scores. Diggs also managed a career-high 10 touchdowns while averaging 9.7 targets per game (seventh). Tyler Boyd felt the sting of no longer being in contention for the top receiver on his team in 2021, clearly falling behind both JaMarr Chase and Tee Higgins as an ancillary option in the passing game. Lockett was the leagues best deep-ball specialist last season, scoring a league-high 133.3 fantasy points on throws 15 yards or further downfield. Patrick was an older prospect, so he will be turning 29 years old this November, but is a steady contributor signed through 2024. It was clear that the Rams had a role for Jefferson this year as a vertical target in the offense, but he may be pressed to even further expand his game in Year 3 if injuries to both Woods and Odell Beckham prevent each from returning to the team or limit their availability. Lamb went from averaging 17.6 points per game prior, down to 10.6 per game to close the season after that stretch. Speaking of undervalued, Mike Evans just continues to get there every season. Cooks and Mills connected on 71.1% of their targets with five touchdowns and a 101.6 rating while Cooks and Tyrod Taylor connected on 58.3% with one score and an 83.0 rating. Before Tyreek Hill was the Cheetah, he was a fifth-round pick in the NFL Draft and . The first and obvious pro is that Thomas remained a target magnet. Only Jonathan Taylor (33) and Antonio Gibson (21) have scored more touchdowns than Davis (18) so far from the 2020 draft class. We were finally seeing the emergence of Brown as a leads wideout until the injury to Lamar Jackson torpedoed a potentially top scoring receiver season from Brown in year three. Things were slow-moving for Amon-Ra St. Brown to open his rookie season. Sterling Shepard (29.6) Kenny Golladays first season with the Giants was an outright disaster, catching 37-of-76 targets for 521 yards and zero touchdowns. Bryan Edwards (23.8) and all he has done is produce when called upon over his first two seasons in the league. Hopkins was able to stay afloat for fantasy weekly since he still scored eight times in 10 games. Boyds 5.9 targets per game were his lowest since 2017 while his receiving yardage per game has declined from the previous season in each of the past three seasons. is probably the safest here, but he has also turned in WR38 and WR41 scoring seasons per game the past two seasons as his receptions and yardage per game have dropped from the previous year in both. We do not officially know who the quarterback will be, but with Pete Carmichael staying as offensive coordinator, Thomas still has a play-caller that understands where he excels. was averaging 3.8 catches for 54.7 yards per game. Robert Woods (30.4) Palmer still will hold value playing as the WR3 attached to Justin Herbert even with Williams returning, but the immediate upside is tied in his role extending, leaving him as a bench option. Ashton Dulin (25.3) Shepard has been a WR4 or better for fantasy in all six seasons, but he now missed 20 games the past three seasons. , who is going to be a hot button this offseason. The addition of Josh McDaniels will surely draw a number of plusses for many gamers given the success of slot receivers in his system, but his splits with and without Waller paired with. Opportunity. 2021 was no shortage of a nightmare for the Jacksonville offense as a whole while Shenault still accrued 100 targets, but he will now be on his third coaching staff in three years while the team is a strong bet to keep adding playmakers. Chase Claypool (24.2) Nico Collins (23.5) Nico Collins' ADP for 2022 With an ADP of 216, Collins is coming off the board as the WR76 in PPR formats, placing him in around the 19th round in 12-team fantasy leagues. Denver locked up Sutton with an extension before he could free agency, while getting attachment to a quarterback finally willing to push the downfield can give Sutton a runway similar to Mike Williams a year ago. Brown, it is tough to see a lot of upside for Woods in his move to the Titans. This past season, Minnesota was 26th in the league in offensive plays with three or more wide receivers on the field (583) while the Rams were first (906). Michael Thomas (29.5) McLaurin still has a lot of meat left on the bone, but he is older than most players heading into their fourth season and Washington still has a gaping question mark under center to correct before they end up squandering the upside McLaurin has through his apex years. I am more than skeptical on Moores ceiling from a fantasy stance, but Moore still carries plenty of pedigree and raft capital to have increased usage in year two and find his way as a full-PPR contributor. Prior to a season-ending injury after nine games played. It is worth noting how touchdown-heavy Evans has been during the Tom Brady years. In 2022 the quarterback class looks very weak, making him a great dynasty stash for 2022 and beyond. was once again held back from accessing his full fantasy potential, posting 77-1,053-5 in his third season. From Week 7 onwards, Collins saw 60% of the snaps in all but one game. 32.6% of his PPR points came via touchdown production alone, the highest rate in his career and just the second time he has been over 20%. He averaged 17.7 points per game over his final seven games while finishing as a WR3 or better in all but one of those games with three WR1 scoring weeks. The concerns about Moores quarterback this season and surrounding offense once again exist, but he will still only be 25-years-old to open up 2022 with 1,200 yards in each of the past three seasons. There is not much any of these players can do to increase their value moving forward, but they arent completely dead yet, either. Rams also were an aggressive offense near the end zone with, ranking fourth in red zone passing rate (59.2%), while second in pass rate inside of the 10-yard line (58.4%), and first in pass rate inside of the 5-yard line (65.9%). As we begin to lay the foundation for the 2022 offseason, here we are going to lay out Dynasty positional tiers with a synopsis of those tiers. Christian Kirk accounted for 30 of those targets, with the next highest player (DeAndre Hopkins) coming in at 12. 31.4% and 32% of Evanss points the past two years have come via touchdowns (a mark that was 16.9% the previous five seasons before Brady) while he received just 6.8 and 7.1 targets per game, the two lowest totals of his career. received 120 targets last year (23rd), but how static will that remain since he was not brought in by this regime? CeeDee Lamb (23.4) Only Jonathan Taylor (33) and Antonio Gibson (21) have scored more touchdowns than Davis (18) so far from the 2020 draft class. Aiyuk played just 66% of the team snaps through six games, catching nine passes total over that span. A solid contributor, Boyds fantasy ceiling is now tied to either Chase or Higgins missing time. Nico Collins player profile featuring advanced fantasy football stats, metrics & analytics: 40 time, burst score, agility score, SPARQ & hand size . Moore breakout last season when he opened the season with 30-398-3 over the opening four games, but he inevitably was caught up once again in the riptide of an offense with subpar quarterback play once Sam Darnolds deal with the devil in September expired. took a step back in 2021, seeing his yards per catch and target, catch rate, receptions, yardage, and touchdowns all drop from his rookie season. Arizona traded their first-round pick to acquire Marquise Brown from Baltimore. 2022-10-03-07:00. Evans is coming off his eight consecutive 1,000-yard season to open his career while catching another 14 touchdown passes. Yes, there are some concerns. Hopkins missed seven games in 2021 and while on the field, he averaged 4.2 receptions and 57.2 yards per game, by far his lowest totals per game since 2016. Tyler Lockett has consistently found a path to strong final-season numbers, posting another 1,175 yards and eight touchdowns on 73 catches. Arizona has changed his role frequently during his tenure, but he will hit free agency here after posting a career-high 63 catches and 809 yards out of the slot in 2021. The positive spin is Golladay averaged 9.1 yards per target from Daniel Jones compared to 4.3 yards per target from the vagabonds they played when Jones was absent. Nico Collins or Adam Thielen Who Should I Draft? Dez Fitzpatrick (24.7) My projections for Nico Collins are he gets 102 targets, 63 receptions, 869 yards, six touchdowns, and averages 10.9 PPR PPG. While he ended the season as . Mooney has sell-high qualities, but I believe his stock will rise even further during the 2022 season unless the Bears make a splash addition of receiver with their hands seemingly tied. My prospect model loved him coming out of college. In the 11 games that Waller played in full, Renfrow reached 60 yards just twice. The next week, he then caught 10-of-13 targets for 189 yards and it appeared we were about to experience something Odell Beckham-esque for the remainder of the season. Chris Olave (22.2) He found the end zone a total of 16 times, with just three coming from inside of 10 yards. 2022 Fantasy Outlook. Godwin tore his ACL back on December 19th, placing his early-season availability in jeopardy. Shenault was mismanaged this season immediately following the injury to D.J. Nico Collins is a fantasy football waiver wire pickup option for wide receivers. has never been flashy or an elite touchdown scorer (and he seemingly always goes through a meandering patch each season), but he is steady as they come in full-PPR formats, catching over 6.0 receptions per game in each of his past six seasons in which he has played multiple games. Keenan Allen (30.3) Cooks closed as the WR22 in points per game (14.5), making him a top-24 scoring receiver per game in all but one of his eight seasons in the league. also gave us some spark in 2021, averaging 15.7 yards per catch and 9.2 yards per target with the Cardinals while giving us nine top-40 scoring weeks. Courtland Sutton flashed early last season with three WR1 scoring weeks over the opening six games, but things bottomed quickly after that. Tim Patrick has led the Broncos in touchdown receptions in each of the past two seasons, posting solid campaigns of 51-742-6 and 53-734-5. Here are four fantasy football sleepers who could bolster your team. felt the sting of no longer being in contention for the top receiver on his team in 2021, clearly falling behind both JaMarr Chase and Tee Higgins as an ancillary option in the passing game. Woods will turn 30 years old this April, coming off suffering an ACL injury in November after appearing in nine games. Father Time comes for us all and these wideouts have given us a lot to be grateful for, but they are also on the final legs of their careers. to open his rookie season. This next tier is older than the previous tier but has also given us a larger sample of production to latch onto. Gage just turned 26 years old this past January. With Tyreek Hill now on board to compromise Waddles overall target share and potentially stunt his growth downfield, Waddle has added volatility as a WR2 option, especially in non-PPR formats. Chris Godwin (26.5). Over the three seasons with Mahomes as the starter, the third-leading receiver has been Sammy Watkins (673 yards), and Mecole Hardman the past two seasons with 693 and 560 yards. Second-Year Breakout Candidates: Nico Collins (2022 Fantasy Football) Nico Collins commanded end-zone targets and high air-yard throws in 2021 but ultimately never put together a true. After posting 7.9 catches for 95.9 yards per game in his first season in Buffalo, Diggs made averaging 6.1 receptions for 72.1 yards per game feel somewhat disappointing to gamers despite still ranking 10th and 12th at his position in those categories. Brown was fourth among all wide receivers in the league in target rate per route run (29.1%), but once again missed time (four games) while being saddled in a low-volume passing offense. also improved across the board in his second season, raising his yards per catch (14.7 yards), receptions (5.3) and yards (77.9) per game, catch rate (67.3%), and yards per target (9.9 yards) all from his rookie season. Beckhams best bet is to likely take another discounted deal to stay with the Rams and try to contribute as the season progresses, but we will have to wait to see if that outcome exists for him. Woods opened the year up with just 15 catches for 172 yards through four games,but was finding his way with four top-20 scoring weeks over his final five games. Drake London (21.1) Both Khalil Shakir and Romeo Doubs land with positive offensive attachment. That combination ended up placing Smith 52nd among receivers in receptions per game (3.8) without Brown on the roster and left us with a lot of lean fantasy weeks. A.J. Since Parkers breakout in 2019, he has come back as the WR42 and WR46 in points per game, missing nine games. There is still a lot of unknown surrounding Calvin Ridley after he left the Falcons after appearing in five games this past season due to mental health issues and potentially not wanting to be a part of the team in the first place while he been suspended for the entire 2022 season due to gambling on games while away from the team. The move reunites Brown with his college quarterback from 2018, when Brown caught 75 passes for 1,318 yards and 10 touchdowns with Kyler Murray at Oklahoma. Jones averaged 11.4 yards per catch and 6.9 yards per target (his lowest rates since his rookie season), but nobody survived the Jacksonville offense last season. The point of no return for alpha wideouts has historically been age 32. Lockett was the leagues best deep-ball specialist last season, scoring a league-high 133.3 fantasy points on throws 15 yards or further downfield. Brown is coming off his best NFL season, catching 91-of-146 targets for 1,008 yards and six touchdowns. Mike Strachan (25.1) 2022 AFC South Standings. I am more on the pro-side of the coin for. Much harder to rationalize his poor college production than Collins' because at least Collins was much more efficient (higher YPR/catch rate/TDs) than Palmer for the most part. It was clear that the Rams had a role for Jefferson this year as a vertical target in the offense, but he may be pressed to even further expand his game in Year 3 if injuries to both Woods and Odell Beckham prevent each from returning to the team or limit their availability. As Mills matures, Collins could rightfully explode. Even with the loss of Brady, Evans should be in line for a significant target bump while we inherently know a Bruce Arians-led passing game will remain aggressive downfield. Posting 77-1,053-5 in his third season was once again held back from accessing his full fantasy potential posting. Close the season after that is worth noting how touchdown-heavy Evans has been the... Touchdown passes are approaching the age apex for elite scorers at the.. A career-high 10 touchdowns while averaging 9.7 targets per game, missing games. Pick in the NFL Draft and in by this regime, scoring a league-high fantasy! 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